As we transition into fall, Ontario is enjoying an unusually warm start, with temperatures hovering in the mid-20s across much of the province. But how long will these mild conditions last before the chill of sweater weather sets in?
According to the latest projections from Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), Ontarians can look forward to a smoother-than-usual ride through fall and early winter. The government weather agency has released its forecast for the period from October through December, and it’s predicting higher-than-normal temperatures across the province during these months.
Mild Fall Ahead
For much of Ontario, there's a high chance of above-average temperatures. In fact, Toronto has a 75% chance of experiencing warmer-than-usual weather from October through December, making it ideal for extending outdoor activities before winter arrives. Ottawa isn't far behind, with a 73% chance of above-normal temperatures, while Thunder Bay is projected to see a 68% chance of warmer conditions as well.
Precipitation and Snowfall Projections
While temperatures are expected to stay mild, precipitation levels across Ontario are forecasted to remain within the normal range for the season. However, there's a possibility of above-average rain and snowfall in some areas to close out the year. Toronto is projected to have a 34% chance of normal precipitation levels during October through December, with a slightly higher 36% chance of above-average precipitation.
Will Ontario Escape Heavy Snowfall This Year?
One key highlight of ECCC’s forecast is the potential for below-average snowfall during the last few months of the year. The agency predicts that Ontario's snow water equivalent (the depth of water that would cover the ground if snow were to melt) is likely to be below normal.
- Toronto has a 57% chance of below-average snow water equivalent, compared to just a 15% chance of above-average snow levels.
- Thunder Bay has an even higher 77% chance of below-average snow water equivalent.
- Ottawa is also expected to see lower snowfall levels, with a 53% chance of below-normal snow water equivalent.
With warmer temperatures and the possibility of minimal snowfall, Ontario’s fall and early winter could be more pleasant than usual. So, if you're looking to enjoy some extended outdoor time or make the most of fall activities, this might just be your year!
Stay tuned for updates as the season progresses, and be sure to make the most of this beautiful, balmy start to fall.
Photo credit: Nikita Brown
Source: https://www.blogto.com/city/2024/09/ontario-weather-fall-2024/